Tom Dempsey
To determine pct chance of a good FG at every yard line and for use with recent Strat-O-Matic Football FG modifiers rule.
Freds_Fabulous_Field_Goals_Chart.xlsx
The way you use this is to open the “Template” sheet. You’ll see the set up for 1975 Tom Dempsey. You put the equivalent for the longest yard line in modern terms in field E4, in his case 37 yard line. Now for reference I like to put the ranges into B14:B18 and the chances/36* 100 in C14:C18. From column E, you can see Dempsey becomes a 56.8 pct kicker at the modern (1974 on) 31 yard line in, a 48 yard kick. For him we use column F, the modern column. He’s an 80 pct kicker from the 13 in, 30 yard kick. That doesn’t sound brilliant until you look at other 1975 kickers. He misses a lot of extra points but he’s still a weapon in that starved points environment.
On the “1957 Bobby Layne” tab we see Layne becomes a 50 percent kicker in his season from his 30, a 37 yard kick now checked from Column G. The pole was on the goal line for 1957 so kickers pick up ten yards in range. Layne makes at least 2/3rds of his kicks from inside 30 yards (22 yard line in 1957). That’s better than you’d think back then. (Note you still use 37 yd line for Layne’s carded longest yard line on the sheet.)
There are two modern kickers, both Jason Hanson seasons, and they really show the differences even modern kickers can make. You’ll note Hanson’s longest are now 39 yard lines, reflecting his longest kicks were 56 yards. 1995 was a middling poor year for Hanson and he only crosses 50 pct at the 27 yard line, or a 44 yard kick. He’s over 90 pct at that distance as an All-Pro fourteen years later.
The Tom Dempsey comparison tab shows 1975 versus 1976. Dempsey was rated 2-10, 2-7,12, 2-8,11,12, 2-7,12, 2-3 in 1976 and even with smoothing you get a feel for his inconsistency at range. (They did this for a number of years on the old cards).
1976 Dempsey will make roughly 2/3 of his kicks inside the 15 and 3/4 out to the 22. He drops to 52 pct at the 30 and he lacks the strength to kick much farther than 50 yards; in 1975 he had leg enough to hit at 52 yards. Amazingly enough he’s still a top ten kicker in 1976, but he’s not quite the weapon he was in 1975.
Enjoy!
Fred Bobberts, Chandler, AZ
Initial publication date: April 23, 2023
Chances:
2 1/36*100
2-3 3/36*100
2-3,12 4/36*100
2-4 6/36*100
2-4,12 7/36*100
2-4,11,12 9/36*100
2-5 10/36*100
2-5,12 11/36 *100
2-5,11,12 13/36*100
2-6 15/36*100
2-6,12 16/36*100
2-6,11,12 18/36*100
2-7 21/36*100
2-7,12 22/36*100
2-7,11,12 24/36*100
2-8 26/36*100
2-8,12 27/36*100
2-8,11,12 29/36*100
2-9 30/36*100
2-9,12 31/36*100
2-10 33/36*100
2-10,12 34/36 *100
2-11 35/36*100
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